Marcel Zielinski vs Nikolai Barsukov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Barsukov's second serve effectiveness over the last six months stands at 45.09%, slightly higher than Zielinski's 40.97%. Which player does this point favor? Barsukov, given the stronger performance in this critical area.
• When returning second serves in recent matches, Barsukov has won 50.96% of points, narrowly outperforming Zielinski who has a rate of 48.01%.
• However, Zielinski exhibits a greater ability to return first serves at 36.32%, compared to Barsukov's 30.11%, suggesting a strength for Zielinski in dealing with stronger serves.
• Under breakpoint pressure, both players exhibit similar abilities, with Barsukov saving 52.81% and Zielinski close behind at 52.05%.
• Over a longer span of the past year, Zielinski has achieved a win rate of 67.35% in matches compared to Barsukov’s 33.33%, indicating a more consistent record.
• Barsukov performs best on clay with a 33% win rate, whereas Zielinski excels on hard courts with a 64% win rate. Which player does this favor in this match? Zielinski, if the match is on a hard surface.
• In terms of match level, Barsukov has played mainly in lower-tier tournaments with a 33.33% win rate, while Zielinski boasts a 70.21% win rate, also predominantly in lower-tier events.
• Considering opponent quality, Zielinski has faced more challenging competitors, with an average rank of 240.69, while Barsukov’s opponents have no available rank data for comparison.
• Should the match proceed to a deciding set, Zielinski has a slightly higher success rate, clinching 67% of deciders compared to Barsukov’s 60%.
• Barsukov has a breakpoint conversion rate of 33.33%, lower than Zielinski’s 47.06%, suggesting Zielinski is more effective in capitalizing on break opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (July 17, 2025, UTC):

With discernible differences in performance metrics, this matchup offers intriguing pointers. Barsukov holds a minor advantage in second serve points and return points on opponents' second serves, showing a more robust game on specific aspects.

Zielinski, meanwhile, demonstrates superior proficiency in first serve returns and breakpoint conversions, coupled with a higher overall match win rate. This signals a consistent edge against comparable opponents.

The deciding factor could well be Zielinski's efficacy on hard courts and the formidable challenge he has posed to higher-ranked players over the past year. Despite Barsukov's commendable efforts, Zielinski seems better equipped for this encounter.

Considering the comprehensive stats and recent trends, Zielinski emerges as the probable winner for this upcoming tennis match.